How many chickens does it take to make a dozen wings? Always six or more. Usually close to twelve.
The interval is a percentile band over the Monte Carlo draws — both the loss factors and the mixing pool sizes are resampled from their recorded lo/mode/hi. The evidence filter drops loss stages weaker than the grade you pick, which shows how much of the answer depends on figures we could not source.
Each bar swings one stage across its own lo/hi with every other stage held at its mode. The longest bar is where more research would pay off most. Mass-only stages register zero — they cannot move a count however uncertain they are.
Every count-affecting stage, in order, compounding on the one before it. This walk uses each stage's mode, so it lands slightly below the headline figure above, which is the mean of the Monte Carlo draws. The two differ because the lo/mode/hi bands are asymmetric — several stages have more room to go wrong than to go right, which drags the mean above the mode. That gap is a real feature of the data, not a rounding artefact.
Counting only stages that can move the count. Mass-only stages are excluded because their evidence quality is irrelevant to this answer.
Drag the pool size. This is the whole argument of the project in one control: six chickens is only reachable if you cut up six chickens yourself. Add any pooling at all and the count runs for the ceiling.
Ohio runs 4.6 lb birds. North Carolina runs 8.4 lb birds. Same species, same year, different businesses — small-bird programs feed fast food, big-bird programs feed deboning.
Different countries publish different things, and the gaps are not symmetrical. Pick one to see what its own statistics can and cannot answer — including, where it applies, that they cannot answer this project's headline question.
Every species is graded on something, but not on the same thing, and the answer does not carry across. Pick one to see its own axis — and, where the corpus cannot answer yet, to see that stated rather than filled in.
Per 100 g from USDA FoodData Central, with per-piece values derived from segment mass rather than stored separately.
Two numbers per metric, and the gap between them is the point. The naive figure charges whole birds to your order. The allocated figure charges only this product's share of the bird, because the breast and thighs fed other people.
Birds get heavier and more feed-efficient every year — and they also die more often than they did in 2013.
Sorted by how much the shape of the year can be trusted, not by the size of the swing — because sorting by size puts the least trustworthy states first. Hover a verdict for the reasoning.
Arrow keys or swipe to move between cards.
Where a figure could not be sourced it is marked as an estimate rather than dressed up as a fact. That distinction is the point.